segunda-feira, 11 de agosto de 2008

The difficult choice

In an brilliant post Seth Godin asks if we

In a review of The Dip, a listener writes,

"Many winners and people or companies that get great results or wind up on top simply stumbled into winning or lucked out! He ignores the whole notion of how randomness plays into people or companies being winners or losers. But that's the whole point of these types of books - to make you feel like you have more control over your destiny. I would argue that luck and randomness play at least as big a role as all of this dip stuff. "

Without a doubt, luck is involved. I don't think anyone would tell you otherwise. The choice one needs to make, though is this:

Either you believe that luck is dominant, in which case, why bother with effort?
or
You believe that luck is random, in which case it can be eliminated from your thinking and you can focus on all the stuff you can control.

I don't think luck alone gets you into Harvard Law School or a clerkship at the Supreme Court. I don't think luck gets someone to buy your car (the best in its class and a great value) instead of the lame alternative.

I've been astonishingly lucky with many elements of my career. Mostly because solid singles turned into doubles or the occasional homer. I figure most of the failures are my fault and many of the successes were really good breaks. But I can't imagine how lonely and depressing it would be to view myself as nothing but a pinball, batted around by forces over which I have no influence.

The problem with not assigning it all to luck, of course, is that you're not only responsible for your wins, you're also responsible for your losses. This decision also means you've got a lot to do all day.

Waiting for the fickle finger of fate to point at you (and cursing the universe until it does) is a lousy strategy. What a shame that so many people rationalize their lives this way. It might be a useful rationalization, but how does it increase the likelihood you'll get what you want?


Medalhas Olimpicas


Olympic Medal winners at NBC Olympics.com!

Opportunist or entrepreneur?

"An opportunity seeker is always looking for their big opportunity to make lots of money from the hot opportunity (or method) of the moment. Their only question is,"Can I make money from this?"...Opportunity seekers buy lots of products (or businesses), use only a few, and abandon them when the next so-called "easy" way to make money comes by."
On the other hand...
"A true entrepreneur is a completely different animal...An entrepreneur has a clear vision of what they want the business to become. Because they have a vision, they can analyze their own strengths, their competitor strengths, the marketplace preferences, and devise different strategies for achieving their vision.

"After reviewing the pros and cons of each strategic alternative they pick the one strategy most certain to successfully achieve their vision. The entrepreneur knows that their biggest opportunity is always inside their business. They follow their ideal strategy and not the hot product that everyone is doing this week." -Rich Shefren
Do you agree this distinction applies to us in the NM business, jumping from deal to deal and method to method?

Looking at your history with NM so far, which one are you?

by Kim Klaver